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Probably not a sequel. Go here It is likely the next Gears of War installment shall be a prequel

In an interview by IGN with Joshua Ortega (Gears of War 2's writer), Ortega responded to a question regarding a Gears of War prequel dealing with Emergence Day saying, "You will not be disappointed in the next ten years; it's a ten-year plan. Gears is long-term. The Lancer is the new Lightsaber." Even with Ortega's statements, a prequel game or any other games in the Gears of War franchise have not been officially confirmed to be in development.

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